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By Andi Thomaj
4 min read

G25 source selection: how good models overfit and honest panels are built

Adding sources always lowers a G25 fit distance and routinely worsens the model — a worked demonstration where the fit improved from 0.0110 to 0.0068 while the story collapsed. The rules that keep a panel honest.

global25methodologyvahaduo

  1. The iron law: more sources always fit better
  2. The subtler trap: collinearity
  3. The working rules of an honest panel
  4. Why the fit distance cannot police any of this

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